12-DECEMBER 08-2021

Conflict ResolutionGood morning.
Long-term investors know that buying when the market is down is an astute move.  With the sharp rebound in stocks from the shortest bear market in history in early 2020, traders have decided that any drop of more than a few percentage points constitutes a dip worthy of being bought, with the acronym BTD popping up on any selloff.
This mentality has been the case in the past few days following the Omicron variant fears hitting the market at the end of November.  Bank of America (BAC) notes that the inflows from this recent selloff have been the strongest since 2017.  As long as investors are bullish – and have funds to keep the BTD mentality alive, the market will likely continue to trend higher, even with the occasional dip to buy along the way.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

Top Analysts Make Huge Christmas Predictions for Gold
Gold has always been a popular gift, so it is bound to be a big seller during the holidays.  But one analyst thinks this year will be jaw-dropping. [Read Here]

Analyst Discovers a Hidden Scam Ruining Peoples’s Lives
Adjusted for inflation, consumers’ personal income from all sources – from wages, interest, dividends, rental income, unemployment compensation, stimulus checks, Social Security benefits, etc. – so “real” personal income dipped by… [Read Here]

December 07, 2020

Make It Happen PeopleGood morning.
The broad investment world tends to follow narratives.  That’s why we’ve been able to profit from the market’s swings on every headline on a prospective trade war over the past few years.  This year, the name of the game has been stimulus.
The on-again, off-again stimulus proposals point to some kind of massive giveaway from the government at some point.  The only real question is the size of the stimulus, and when the checks can be distributed.  So far, talk of stimulus has been enough to offset a rise in Covid cases and local shutdowns going into the winter.  Chances are the market may have a bumpy few weeks, but that may just be what’s needed to get a deal passed.

Now here’s the rest of the news:

US and EU in Race with China to Secure Essential Lithium
The global lithium market is predicted to grow by 500% to handle the explosion of electric vehicles and renewable energy.  Unfortunately, right now communist China controls 80% of the world’s lithium supply.

December 07, 2019

Ultimately, isn’t HAPPINESS what everyone seeks?  Look around you!  Yes, cats purr … and dogs wag their tails.  Today’s video message that explores this truth, “One Way You Can Truly Be Happy.”

George Bernard Shaw was once quoted as saying, “People become attached to their burdens some-times more than the burden are attached to them.”  I totally disagree … our burden couldn’t give a damn.  Just like money couldn’t give a damn.  Give someone a hug today … now that matters  🙂

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Come From Aways, Do You?

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08-AUGUST 06-2022

  Today! August 06, 2021 Good morning. Rising Delta-variant cases, inflation fears, supply chain issues – the market is dealing with a lot right now.  That’s caused the market to feel like it’s sagging and about to drop, even when stocks are still just under all-time highs. Looking at the big tech space, which is largely rallying once again, and which makes up the biggest part of the market, it’s clear that the recent fears are just part of the “wall of worry” that the stock market sees during a bull market.  That view is also supported by Goldman Sachs

08-AUGUST 05-2022

Good morning. Oil prices have continued lower, with a barrel of crude breaking under $90 in trading yesterday.  That will likely prove further good news at the gas pump.  But it will mean bad news for investors who flocked into energy plays as oil prices surged higher earlier this year. In the meantime, it’s harder to find a more beaten-down space than cryptocurrencies.  Yet the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock (BLK), is partnering with Coinbase (COIN) to make it easier for institutional investors to trade Bitcoin. It just goes to show – assets tend to be mean-reverting over time.  A

08-AUGUST 04-2022

Good morning. We’ve called it a recession since the first quarter data came out.  That was confirmed by a second quarterly drop just last week – even as the goalposts have been moved on the definition of a recession.  Ready for a third quarterly drop in a row?  The data suggests we may already be there. The data in question is the services PMI. It’s showing a large amount of declining output – in fact, the largest recorded since the global financial crisis in 2008.  That, combined with a slowdown in consumer spending and home prices, points to a third

08-AUGUST 03-2022

Good morning. Between inflation at 40-year highs and two quarters of negative GDP growth, investors in the US are dealing with some tough times.  But compared to the rest of the world, the US looks like one of the strongest places to invest now. Europe is likely in a recession, and its energy shortage due to Russian sanctions will only make it deeper.  In contrast, the US has the capacity to be energy independent.  The US is also food independent, at a time when grain shipments from Ukraine have finally started up again. Overall, investors can still be cautious.  But

08-AUGUST 02-2022

Good morning. The stock market’s strong rally of the past few days has allowed it to retrace nearly half of its losses since the start of the year.  That could mark the end of the recent drop – or it could be simply a bear market rally before the longer-term downtrend picks up. Some clues point to further downside.  While the Fed didn’t raise interest rates more than expected last week, they continued to warn on inflation, which still runs hot.  And a number of central bankers have warned that the Fed isn’t ready to pivot yet on its current

08-AUGUST 01-2022

Good morning. Last week saw a strong rally for the market, with the best-performing week for stocks since 2020.  That’s in spite of data indicating the economy continues to contract.  As we get into August, however, that rally should cool. On a technical basis, the market has now had a strong rally.  But it also fits the pattern of a bear market rally.  And until the Fed stops raising interest rates, we likely won’t see a sustained rally higher – aka, the so-called “pivot” that will signal a true change in the market’s long-term trajectory. All told, that points to

07-JULY 31-2022

Today’s Newfoundland… It may not be my first stop in St. John, but the Quidi Vidi Brewery will be in the top 5. July 31, 2021 “There is no royal, flower-strewn path to success. And if there is, I have not found it. For if I have accomplished anything in life, it is because I have been willing to work hard.” –CJ Walker What Worked, What Didn’t, What’s Next? One of the common denominators of successful people is their ability to persevere when things don’t go as planned.  Effective people don’t allow themselves to get bogged down in feelings that

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